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If a fair die is rolled 4 times, what is the probability, rounded to the nearest thousandth, of getting at least 3 fours?
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If a fair die is rolled 44 times, what is the probability, rounded to the nearest thousandth, of getting at least 33 fours?\newlineAnswer:

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Q. If a fair die is rolled 44 times, what is the probability, rounded to the nearest thousandth, of getting at least 33 fours?\newlineAnswer:
  1. Calculate Probability of Rolling Four: Determine the probability of rolling a four on a single die roll.\newlineA fair die has 66 sides, so the probability of rolling a four on any given roll is 16\frac{1}{6}.
  2. Calculate Probability of Not Rolling Four: Determine the probability of not rolling a four on a single die roll.\newlineThe probability of not rolling a four is the complement of rolling a four, which is 56\frac{5}{6}.
  3. Calculate Probability of Three Fours: Calculate the probability of rolling exactly three fours in four rolls.\newlineThis can happen in several different ways: the first three rolls are fours and the last is not, the first, second, and fourth rolls are fours, etc. There are (43)4 \choose 3 (4C3)(4C3) ways to arrange three fours in four rolls.\newline4C3=4!3!(43)!=44C3 = \frac{4!}{3! \cdot (4-3)!} = 4\newlineThe probability of each of these events is (16)3(56)(\frac{1}{6})^3 \cdot (\frac{5}{6}).\newlineSo, the total probability for exactly three fours is 4(16)3(56)4 \cdot (\frac{1}{6})^3 \cdot (\frac{5}{6}).
  4. Calculate Probability of Four Fours: Calculate the probability of rolling four fours in four rolls. The probability of this happening is (16)4(\frac{1}{6})^4.
  5. Add Probabilities for Three and Four Fours: Add the probabilities from Step 33 and Step 44 to find the total probability of getting at least three fours.\newlineProbability of at least three fours == Probability of exactly three fours ++ Probability of exactly four fours\newline= \(4 \times (\frac{11}{66})^33 \times (\frac{55}{66}) + (\frac{11}{66})^44
  6. Perform Calculations: Perform the calculations.\newlineProbability of exactly three fours = 4×(16)3×(56)=4×(1216)×(56)=2012964 \times \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^3 \times \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) = 4 \times \left(\frac{1}{216}\right) \times \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) = \frac{20}{1296}\newlineProbability of exactly four fours = (16)4=11296\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{1296}\newlineProbability of at least three fours = 201296+11296=211296\frac{20}{1296} + \frac{1}{1296} = \frac{21}{1296}
  7. Simplify Fraction and Round: Simplify the fraction and round to the nearest thousandth. \newline211296\frac{21}{1296} simplifies to 7432\frac{7}{432}.\newlineTo convert this to a decimal, divide 77 by 432432.\newline7÷4320.01627 \div 432 \approx 0.0162\newlineRounded to the nearest thousandth, the probability is 0.0160.016.

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