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A box contains 6 red cards, 5 blue cards and 9 yellow cards.
The cards are identical except for the colours.
Two cards are taken from the box without replacement.
(a) Draw a tree diagram to show the probabilities of the possible outcomes.
(b) Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that
(i) the two cards are of the same colour,
(ii) at least one of the cards is yellow.
(c) A third card is taken from the box.
Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that exactly two of the cards is blue.
Firstcad
Secend card

66. A box contains 66 red cards, 55 blue cards and 99 yellow cards.\newlineThe cards are identical except for the colours.\newlineTwo cards are taken from the box without replacement.\newline(a) Draw a tree diagram to show the probabilities of the possible outcomes.\newline(b) Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that\newline(i) the two cards are of the same colour,\newline(ii) at least one of the cards is yellow.\newline(c) A third card is taken from the box.\newlineFind, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that exactly two of the cards is blue.\newlineFirstcad\newlineSecend card

Full solution

Q. 66. A box contains 66 red cards, 55 blue cards and 99 yellow cards.\newlineThe cards are identical except for the colours.\newlineTwo cards are taken from the box without replacement.\newline(a) Draw a tree diagram to show the probabilities of the possible outcomes.\newline(b) Find, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that\newline(i) the two cards are of the same colour,\newline(ii) at least one of the cards is yellow.\newline(c) A third card is taken from the box.\newlineFind, as a fraction in its simplest form, the probability that exactly two of the cards is blue.\newlineFirstcad\newlineSecend card
  1. Total number of cards: Total number of cards = 66 red + 55 blue + 99 yellow = 2020 cards.
  2. Probability of two red cards: Probability of drawing a red card first = 620\frac{6}{20}. Probability of drawing a red card second without replacement = 519\frac{5}{19}. Probability of two red cards = (620)(519)\left(\frac{6}{20}\right) * \left(\frac{5}{19}\right).
  3. Probability of two blue cards: Probability of drawing a blue card first = 520\frac{5}{20}. Probability of drawing a blue card second without replacement = 419\frac{4}{19}. Probability of two blue cards = (520)(419)\left(\frac{5}{20}\right) * \left(\frac{4}{19}\right).
  4. Probability of two yellow cards: Probability of drawing a yellow card first = 920\frac{9}{20}. Probability of drawing a yellow card second without replacement = 819\frac{8}{19}. Probability of two yellow cards = (920)(819)\left(\frac{9}{20}\right) * \left(\frac{8}{19}\right).
  5. Probability of two cards being the same color: Probability of two cards being the same color =Probability of two red cards+Probability of two blue cards+Probability of two yellow cards.= \text{Probability of two red cards} + \text{Probability of two blue cards} + \text{Probability of two yellow cards}.
  6. Probability of at least one yellow card: Probability of two cards being the same color = (620)×(519)+(520)×(419)+(920)×(819)(\frac{6}{20}) \times (\frac{5}{19}) + (\frac{5}{20}) \times (\frac{4}{19}) + (\frac{9}{20}) \times (\frac{8}{19}).
  7. Probability of drawing a blue card third: Probability of at least one yellow card == Probability of first yellow ++ Probability of second yellow - Probability of two yellow cards.
  8. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue: Probability of first yellow card = 920\frac{9}{20}. Probability of second yellow card without replacement = 919\frac{9}{19} (since the first card could be any color). Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - Probability of two yellow cards.
  9. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue: Probability of first yellow card = 920\frac{9}{20}. Probability of second yellow card without replacement = 919\frac{9}{19} (since the first card could be any color). Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - Probability of two yellow cards. Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919(920)×(819)\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - \left(\frac{9}{20}\right) \times \left(\frac{8}{19}\right).
  10. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue: Probability of first yellow card = 920\frac{9}{20}. Probability of second yellow card without replacement = 919\frac{9}{19} (since the first card could be any color). Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - Probability of two yellow cards. Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919(920×819)\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - \left(\frac{9}{20} \times \frac{8}{19}\right). For part (c), after two cards are taken, there are 1818 cards left. Probability of drawing a blue card third = 518\frac{5}{18} or 418\frac{4}{18} depending on whether a blue card was drawn in the first two draws.
  11. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue: Probability of first yellow card = 920\frac{9}{20}. Probability of second yellow card without replacement = 919\frac{9}{19} (since the first card could be any color). Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - Probability of two yellow cards. Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919(920)(819)\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - \left(\frac{9}{20}\right) \left(\frac{8}{19}\right). For part (c), after two cards are taken, there are 1818 cards left. Probability of drawing a blue card third = 518\frac{5}{18} or 418\frac{4}{18} depending on whether a blue card was drawn in the first two draws. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue = Probability of (blue, not blue, blue) + Probability of (not blue, blue, blue).
  12. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue: Probability of first yellow card = 920\frac{9}{20}. Probability of second yellow card without replacement = 919\frac{9}{19} (since the first card could be any color). Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - Probability of two yellow cards. Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919(920)(819)\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - \left(\frac{9}{20}\right) \left(\frac{8}{19}\right). For part (c), after two cards are taken, there are 1818 cards left. Probability of drawing a blue card third = 518\frac{5}{18} or 418\frac{4}{18} depending on whether a blue card was drawn in the first two draws. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue = Probability of (blue, not blue, blue) + Probability of (not blue, blue, blue). Probability of (blue, not blue, blue) = (520)(1519)(418)\left(\frac{5}{20}\right) \left(\frac{15}{19}\right) \left(\frac{4}{18}\right). Probability of (not blue, blue, blue) = (1520)(519)(418)\left(\frac{15}{20}\right) \left(\frac{5}{19}\right) \left(\frac{4}{18}\right).
  13. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue: Probability of first yellow card = 920\frac{9}{20}. Probability of second yellow card without replacement = 919\frac{9}{19} (since the first card could be any color). Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - Probability of two yellow cards. Probability of at least one yellow card = 920+919(920)(819)\frac{9}{20} + \frac{9}{19} - \left(\frac{9}{20}\right) \left(\frac{8}{19}\right). For part (c), after two cards are taken, there are 1818 cards left. Probability of drawing a blue card third = 518\frac{5}{18} or 418\frac{4}{18} depending on whether a blue card was drawn in the first two draws. Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue = Probability of (blue, not blue, blue) + Probability of (not blue, blue, blue). Probability of (blue, not blue, blue) = (520)(1519)(418)\left(\frac{5}{20}\right) \left(\frac{15}{19}\right) \left(\frac{4}{18}\right). Probability of (not blue, blue, blue) = (1520)(519)(418)\left(\frac{15}{20}\right) \left(\frac{5}{19}\right) \left(\frac{4}{18}\right). Probability that exactly two of the cards are blue = (520)(1519)(418)+(1520)(519)(418)\left(\frac{5}{20}\right) \left(\frac{15}{19}\right) \left(\frac{4}{18}\right) + \left(\frac{15}{20}\right) \left(\frac{5}{19}\right) \left(\frac{4}{18}\right).

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