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A baseball player has a batting average of 0.2050.205. What is the probability that he has exactly 11 hits in his next 77 at bats? The probability is

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Q. A baseball player has a batting average of 0.2050.205. What is the probability that he has exactly 11 hits in his next 77 at bats? The probability is
  1. Calculate probability formula: Calculate the probability of getting exactly 11 hit using the binomial probability formula, which is P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k}, where nn is the number of trials, kk is the number of successes, pp is the probability of success on a single trial, and (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient.
  2. Calculate binomial coefficient: Here, n=7n=7 (77 at bats), k=1k=1 (exactly 11 hit), and p=0.205p=0.205 (batting average). First, calculate the binomial coefficient (77 choose 11) which is 77.
  3. Calculate pkp^k: Now, calculate pkp^k which is 0.2051=0.2050.205^1 = 0.205.
  4. Calculate (1p)(nk)(1-p)^{(n-k)}: Next, calculate (1p)(nk)(1-p)^{(n-k)} which is (10.205)(71)=0.7956(1-0.205)^{(7-1)} = 0.795^6.
  5. Multiply all parts: Now, multiply all the parts together: 7×0.205×0.79567 \times 0.205 \times 0.795^6.
  6. Perform final calculation: Perform the calculation: 7×0.205×0.7956=7×0.205×0.377149=0.5397 \times 0.205 \times 0.795^6 = 7 \times 0.205 \times 0.377149 = 0.539.

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